---
title: Causal Predictive Alerting, Alerts That Grade Themselves (E4)
emoji: ⏱️
colorFrom: red
colorTo: yellow
sdk: static
pinned: true
license: mit
short_description: Predictive alerting with a falsification ledger.
tags:
  - anticipation
  - causal-inference
  - anomaly-detection
  - counterfactual
  - falsification-ledger
  - edge-ai
---

# Causal Predictive Alerting (E4), demo

A static, precomputed showcase of the causal-predictive-alerting product ("precausal"): the
falsification-ledger verdict counts (63 fulfilled, 87 falsified, 50 no-alert over a
200-scenario battery), per-scenario-kind precision from the newer 210-scenario battery, and how
every alert carries an ablation-replay counterfactual.

All numbers on this page come from the committed evidence files (`battery_200.jsonl`, `scenario_battery_rows.jsonl`, and `scenario_battery_summary.json`) in this Space, from real harness runs at the 200/210-scenario scale, refreshed on 2026-07-17 after a fix to `crowd_buildup` prediction confirmation logic (precision now 0.600, up from a prior 0.356; see `BATTERY_RESULTS.md` in the product repo). The paired Hugging Face dataset (linked below) also holds a separate, larger-scale battery; see that dataset's own README for its measured figures at that scale, since this Space only republishes numbers backed by evidence files committed in this product's own repo.

Dataset: [Dhi-Technologies/causal-predictive-alerting-benchmark](https://huggingface.co/datasets/Dhi-Technologies/causal-predictive-alerting-benchmark)
Blog: [Six research systems, one honesty thesis](https://huggingface.co/datasets/Dhi-Technologies/blog/blob/main/04_portfolio_overview.md)
Collection: [Dhi Labs, honest edge vision AI](https://huggingface.co/collections/Dhi-Technologies/dhi-labs-honest-edge-vision-ai-6a4eb297cbd60f5f673cc2d7)
Org: [Dhi-Technologies](https://huggingface.co/Dhi-Technologies)
Dhi Labs overview: [dhi-tech.com/labs](https://dhi-tech.com/labs)
Dhi Labs product page: [dhi-tech.com/labs/causal-predictive-alerting/](https://dhi-tech.com/labs/causal-predictive-alerting/)

## Commercial licensing

Research and evaluation use is free. Production and commercial use is licensed self-serve with published prices.

- Get a license: https://dhi-tech.com/buy/predictive-safety
- All published prices: https://dhi-tech.com/pricing/