Datasets:
scenario_id stringlengths 8 8 | domain stringlengths 7 20 | task stringlengths 51 80 | constraints_json stringlengths 132 214 | trajectory_json stringlengths 328 536 | constraint_loss bool 2
classes | first_loss_step float64 3 4 ⌀ | lost_constraint stringlengths 4 80 | mechanism_family stringclasses 9
values | loss_mechanism stringlengths 4 31 | visible_consequence_step float64 4 6 ⌀ | severity stringclasses 3
values | trajectory_length int64 4 6 | relative_loss_position float64 0.5 0.8 ⌀ | trajectory_structure stringlengths 21 45 | annotation_confidence float64 0.91 0.98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCLA-001 | clinical_reasoning | Assess whether fatigue is sufficiently explained by iron deficiency. | ["Do not infer missing laboratory values.","Separate compatible symptoms from discriminating evidence.","Preserve uncertainty until competing causes are tested."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Fatigue and heavy menstrual bleeding increase the plausibility of iron deficiency."},{"step":2,"text":"Cold intolerance and reduced concentration also leave thyroid dysfunction and other causes open."},{"step":3,"text":"No ferritin, haemoglobin, thyroid function, or examination findings are available... | true | 4 | Preserve uncertainty until competing causes are tested. | premature_constraint_closure | evidence_threshold_collapse | 5 | high | 5 | 0.8 | linear_closure_to_action | 0.95 |
RCLA-002 | clinical_reasoning | Assess whether a mild imaging finding explains persistent pain. | ["Do not equate an observed abnormality with symptom cause.","Integrate anatomy, timing, examination, and alternatives.","Avoid treatment selection from imaging alone."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The scan shows mild degenerative change."},{"step":2,"text":"Similar changes are common in people with and without pain."},{"step":3,"text":"The pain distribution only partly matches the imaged level."},{"step":4,"text":"The imaging result remains one possible contributor rather than a confirmed caus... | false | null | none | none | none | null | none | 5 | null | stable_multi_source_integration | 0.98 |
RCLA-003 | software_debugging | Identify the source of intermittently stale profile data. | ["Distinguish observations from hypotheses.","Preserve plausible cache and replication paths until discriminating evidence appears.","Use targeted tests before assigning a root cause."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Profile changes sometimes take several minutes to appear."},{"step":2,"text":"The delay occurs in ordinary and private browsing sessions."},{"step":3,"text":"Browser caching is therefore less likely."},{"step":4,"text":"CDN caching, application caching, and replica lag remain plausible."},{"step":5,"... | false | null | none | none | none | null | none | 6 | null | stable_hypothesis_ranking | 0.97 |
RCLA-004 | software_debugging | Determine why queued jobs intermittently disappear. | ["Do not infer absence from missing logs.","Track queue, worker, database, and retry states separately.","Preserve unresolved branches until telemetry distinguishes them."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Some queued jobs never appear in the completion table."},{"step":2,"text":"Worker logs contain no corresponding failure event."},{"step":3,"text":"Because the worker logs are silent, the workers are treated as having succeeded."},{"step":4,"text":"Attention shifts almost entirely to the completion-ta... | true | 3 | Do not infer absence from missing logs. | evidence_suppression | missingness_to_success | 6 | medium | 6 | 0.5 | branch_suppression_without_explicit_falsehood | 0.92 |
RCLA-005 | legal_reasoning | Evaluate what can be inferred from delayed action after reported damp. | ["Separate notice from liability.","Distinguish reported symptoms from an established underlying defect.","Preserve separate analysis of breach, causation, and loss."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The correspondence records reports of damp and respiratory concerns."},{"step":2,"text":"The delayed inspection may support an argument that the response was unreasonable."},{"step":3,"text":"The correspondence is treated as proving knowledge of the precise structural cause."},{"step":4,"text":"The a... | true | 3 | Distinguish reported symptoms from an established underlying defect. | scope_collapse | notice_scope_expansion | 4 | high | 5 | 0.6 | scope_expansion_to_liability | 0.95 |
RCLA-006 | legal_reasoning | Assess whether a signed document establishes informed consent. | ["Separate signature from informed understanding.","Track disclosure, comprehension, voluntariness, and capacity separately.","Do not treat one procedural artifact as proof of the entire process."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The individual signed the consent document."},{"step":2,"text":"The record contains limited evidence about comprehension and disclosure."},{"step":3,"text":"The signature is treated as establishing valid informed consent."},{"step":4,"text":"Comprehension and voluntariness are retained only as second... | true | 3 | Separate signature from informed understanding. | proxy_substitution | signature_to_informed_consent | 5 | high | 5 | 0.6 | procedural_proxy_capture | 0.94 |
RCLA-007 | scientific_reasoning | Interpret an observational association between sleep duration and memory. | ["Do not infer causation from association alone.","Consider confounding and reverse causation.","Do not overstate external validity."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Participants who slept longer performed better on a memory task."},{"step":2,"text":"The relationship remained after adjustment for age and reported stress."},{"step":3,"text":"The adjusted result is treated as showing that increased sleep improves memory."},{"step":4,"text":"Residual confounding and... | true | 3 | Do not infer causation from association alone. | causal_scope_collapse | adjustment_to_causation | 5 | high | 5 | 0.6 | association_to_intervention | 0.96 |
RCLA-008 | scientific_reasoning | Interpret a treatment effect in a small unblinded pilot study. | ["Separate exploratory evidence from confirmatory evidence.","Track sample size, blinding, attrition, and outcome selection.","Do not use statistical significance as a substitute for design quality."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The pilot reports a statistically significant improvement."},{"step":2,"text":"The study is small, unblinded, and has substantial attrition."},{"step":3,"text":"Several outcomes were measured but only one is highlighted."},{"step":4,"text":"The result is described as encouraging preliminary evidence.... | false | null | none | none | none | null | none | 5 | null | stable_evidence_grading | 0.98 |
RCLA-009 | policy_analysis | Compare two transport policies under competing objectives. | ["Keep distributional effects visible.","Do not treat average benefit as universal benefit.","Preserve implementation uncertainty."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Policy A produces the larger mean reduction in journey time."},{"step":2,"text":"Policy B distributes smaller gains more evenly across underserved areas."},{"step":3,"text":"Implementation costs remain uncertain for both policies."},{"step":4,"text":"The mean result becomes the dominant decision metr... | true | 4 | Keep distributional effects visible. | multi_objective_collapse | objective_weight_capture | 5 | medium | 6 | 0.667 | gradual_objective_capture | 0.93 |
RCLA-010 | policy_analysis | Assess a housing policy that lowers average costs but raises displacement risk. | ["Keep aggregate and subgroup outcomes separate.","Do not use average improvement to erase concentrated harm.","Preserve uncertainty about behavioural and market responses."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Average housing costs fall under the proposed policy."},{"step":2,"text":"A vulnerable subgroup faces increased displacement risk."},{"step":3,"text":"The aggregate gain is treated as the primary result."},{"step":4,"text":"Displacement is moved into an implementation appendix."},{"step":5,"text":"Th... | true | 3 | Do not use average improvement to erase concentrated harm. | multi_objective_collapse | aggregate_to_universal_benefit | 5 | high | 5 | 0.6 | aggregate_capture_of_distribution | 0.95 |
RCLA-011 | engineering | Diagnose repeated overheating in an industrial motor. | ["Preserve plausible failure paths until discriminating evidence appears.","Distinguish symptom suppression from root-cause correction.","Use measured data where available."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Possible causes include overload, ventilation restriction, bearing friction, voltage imbalance, or sensor error."},{"step":2,"text":"The motor temperature falls when load is reduced."},{"step":3,"text":"This supports overload as one hypothesis but does not exclude load-sensitive faults."},{"step":4,"... | false | null | none | none | none | null | none | 5 | null | stable_diagnostic_branching | 0.97 |
RCLA-012 | engineering | Explain why a bridge sensor reports increasing vibration after maintenance. | ["Separate sensor change from structural change.","Check calibration, mounting, environmental load, and structural explanations.","Do not treat the most recent intervention as the default cause."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Reported vibration increased after a sensor was remounted."},{"step":2,"text":"Traffic volume and wind conditions also changed."},{"step":3,"text":"The remount is the most visible recent event."},{"step":4,"text":"Temporal proximity is treated as causal priority."},{"step":5,"text":"Environmental and... | true | 4 | Do not treat the most recent intervention as the default cause. | proxy_substitution | temporal_proximity_substitution | 6 | medium | 6 | 0.667 | recent_event_proxy_capture | 0.91 |
RCLA-013 | machine_learning | Determine whether a classifier has genuinely improved. | ["Separate validation gains from generalisation gains.","Check leakage and distribution shift.","Do not infer robustness from one aggregate metric."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Validation accuracy increased after the training pipeline changed."},{"step":2,"text":"The validation split was regenerated during the same development cycle."},{"step":3,"text":"The gain appears across three random seeds."},{"step":4,"text":"Repeated improvement is treated as evidence of robust gene... | true | 4 | Separate validation gains from generalisation gains. | evaluation_scope_collapse | validation_to_generality | 5 | high | 5 | 0.8 | evaluation_scope_expansion | 0.95 |
RCLA-014 | machine_learning | Assess whether higher benchmark accuracy justifies deployment. | ["Separate benchmark performance from deployment readiness.","Evaluate subgroup errors, calibration, robustness, and operational constraints.","Do not collapse multiple safety conditions into one aggregate score."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The model improves aggregate benchmark accuracy."},{"step":2,"text":"Subgroup error rates are unavailable."},{"step":3,"text":"Calibration under distribution shift has not been tested."},{"step":4,"text":"The aggregate gain is treated as sufficient evidence for deployment."},{"step":5,"text":"Deploym... | true | 4 | Separate benchmark performance from deployment readiness. | evaluation_scope_collapse | benchmark_to_readiness | 5 | high | 5 | 0.8 | aggregate_metric_to_deployment | 0.96 |
RCLA-015 | ecology | Interpret an increase in a target species after habitat restoration. | ["Do not equate one species increase with ecosystem recovery.","Track trade-offs and lagging variables.","Separate short-term response from stable recovery."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The target bird population increases during the first breeding season."},{"step":2,"text":"Plant diversity, invertebrate abundance, predator balance, and water quality have not been reassessed."},{"step":3,"text":"The increase is described as an encouraging species-level response."},{"step":4,"text":... | true | 4 | Do not equate one species increase with ecosystem recovery. | proxy_substitution | species_to_system_completion | 4 | medium | 5 | 0.8 | species_proxy_to_system_claim | 0.94 |
RCLA-016 | ecology | Explain why a wetland restoration appears to reduce flood risk. | ["Separate observed water levels from general flood resilience.","Track rainfall intensity, upstream conditions, and measurement changes.","Do not infer system-wide resilience from one event."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Peak water level is lower during the first major storm after restoration."},{"step":2,"text":"The storm produces less rainfall than the comparison event."},{"step":3,"text":"Upstream land use also changed."},{"step":4,"text":"The lower peak is treated as direct evidence that the wetland now prevents ... | true | 4 | Track rainfall intensity, upstream conditions, and measurement changes. | causal_scope_collapse | event_comparison_overreach | 5 | medium | 5 | 0.8 | single_event_to_system_resilience | 0.92 |
RCLA-017 | financial_analysis | Assess whether improving profit demonstrates improving resilience. | ["Separate accounting profit from cash generation.","Track leverage, liquidity, margins, and one-off effects independently.","Do not collapse financial resilience into one reported metric."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Reported profit increased during the quarter."},{"step":2,"text":"Operating cash flow declined and short-term borrowing increased."},{"step":3,"text":"A one-off asset sale contributed to profit."},{"step":4,"text":"The profit increase becomes the summary of company health."},{"step":5,"text":"Cash fl... | true | 4 | Separate accounting profit from cash generation. | proxy_substitution | profit_to_resilience | 5 | medium | 5 | 0.8 | single_metric_capture | 0.94 |
RCLA-018 | financial_analysis | Assess a revenue forecast after a promotional sales increase. | ["Separate trend from temporary intervention effects.","Account for seasonality and base-rate variation.","Do not extrapolate from one observation."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Sales rose sharply during a promotional month."},{"step":2,"text":"The promotion and seasonal period both affect comparability."},{"step":3,"text":"The increase is projected forward as the new monthly growth rate."},{"step":4,"text":"The forecast is presented as the expected baseline for the next qua... | true | 3 | Do not extrapolate from one observation. | premature_constraint_closure | single_period_extrapolation | 4 | high | 4 | 0.75 | single_observation_to_forecast | 0.95 |
RCLA-019 | cybersecurity | Assess whether an unusual login establishes account compromise. | ["Separate anomaly from confirmed compromise.","Consider benign and malicious explanations.","Use proportionate containment while evidence is incomplete."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The account is accessed from a new country and device."},{"step":2,"text":"The user has not yet confirmed travel or VPN use."},{"step":3,"text":"The event is classified as suspicious."},{"step":4,"text":"Temporary containment and verification are initiated."},{"step":5,"text":"The event is not record... | false | null | none | none | none | null | none | 5 | null | stable_anomaly_management | 0.98 |
RCLA-020 | cybersecurity | Assess whether repeated authentication failures establish malicious access. | ["Separate suspicious activity from confirmed compromise.","Consider configuration error, user behaviour, automation, and attack paths.","Use proportionate containment while evidence remains incomplete."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The account generates repeated failed authentication attempts."},{"step":2,"text":"The attempts come from an unfamiliar network range."},{"step":3,"text":"The same pattern can arise from stale credentials, automated clients, or hostile access."},{"step":4,"text":"The unfamiliar range is treated as su... | true | 4 | Separate suspicious activity from confirmed compromise. | premature_constraint_closure | anomaly_to_confirmed_compromise | 5 | high | 5 | 0.8 | anomaly_to_state_closure | 0.95 |
RCLA-021 | historical_analysis | Explain a political transition involving economic and institutional instability. | ["Retain interacting economic, political, and institutional causes.","Distinguish catalysts from background conditions.","Do not convert temporal sequence into sole causation."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Economic contraction weakens state revenue."},{"step":2,"text":"Institutional conflict reduces the government's ability to respond."},{"step":3,"text":"A mass protest accelerates the political transition."},{"step":4,"text":"The protest becomes the central explanation because it immediately precedes ... | true | 4 | Retain interacting economic, political, and institutional causes. | multi_causal_collapse | catalyst_to_primary_cause | 5 | medium | 5 | 0.8 | event_capture_of_multicausality | 0.94 |
RCLA-022 | historical_analysis | Explain a long-term institutional collapse with interacting causes. | ["Retain interacting causes across time.","Distinguish catalyst, mechanism, and background condition.","Avoid assigning sole explanatory status from narrative prominence."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Revenue decline, succession conflict, and administrative fragmentation interact over several decades."},{"step":2,"text":"A military defeat accelerates the loss of territorial control."},{"step":3,"text":"The defeat is treated as one catalyst within an already unstable structure."},{"step":4,"text":"... | false | null | none | none | none | null | none | 4 | null | stable_multi_causal_account | 0.98 |
RCLA-023 | education | Explain a student's decline in assessment performance. | ["Avoid character attribution without evidence.","Consider instructional, health, environmental, and assessment factors.","Do not confuse an outcome with its cause."] | [{"step":1,"text":"The student's results decline across three assessments."},{"step":2,"text":"Attendance records show repeated absence during the teaching period."},{"step":3,"text":"Missed instruction, illness, anxiety, home disruption, and assessment changes remain possible."},{"step":4,"text":"Failure to catch up i... | true | 4 | Avoid character attribution without evidence. | scope_collapse | behaviour_to_trait_conversion | 5 | medium | 5 | 0.8 | context_to_trait_collapse | 0.94 |
RCLA-024 | operations | Explain repeated delays in a multi-stage fulfilment process. | ["Reconstruct the full dependency chain.","Do not infer the total bottleneck from the final visible delay.","Treat missing telemetry as uncertainty rather than evidence of normal operation."] | [{"step":1,"text":"Orders are completed two days later than expected."},{"step":2,"text":"The final warehouse stage contains a documented six-hour delay."},{"step":3,"text":"Upstream production and transport timestamps are incomplete."},{"step":4,"text":"The warehouse delay becomes the working explanation for the entir... | true | 4 | Treat missing telemetry as uncertainty rather than evidence of normal operation. | evidence_suppression | missingness_to_normal_operation | 6 | high | 6 | 0.667 | partial_timeline_to_total_attribution | 0.96 |
- Dataset identity
- Split sizes
scenario_iddomaintaskconstraints_jsontrajectory_json- 1.
constraint_loss - 2.
first_loss_step - 3.
lost_constraint - 4.
mechanism_family premature_constraint_closurescope_collapsecausal_scope_collapsemulti_causal_collapsemulti_objective_collapseproxy_substitutionevidence_suppressionevaluation_scope_collapseloss_mechanismvisible_consequence_stepseveritytrajectory_lengthrelative_loss_positiontrajectory_structureannotation_confidencepredicted_constraint_losspredicted_first_loss_steppredicted_lost_constraint_idpredicted_mechanism_family- Constraint-loss macro F1
- Complete Attribution Accuracy
- Exact first-loss-step accuracy
- Within-one first-loss-step accuracy
- Lost-constraint exact accuracy
- Conditional mechanism-family macro F1
- Mean absolute first-loss-step error
- End-to-end mechanism-family macro F1
- Layer 1 — Loss detection
- Layer 2 — Conditional attribution
- Layer 3 — Complete end-to-end reconstruction
- Perfect predictions
- All-no-loss predictions
- Onset off by one
- Correct detection, wrong mechanism
- Correct detection, wrong constraint
- Missing scenario identifier
- Extra scenario identifier
- Duplicate prediction identifier
- Out-of-range loss step
- Invalid constraint identifier
- Invalid mechanism family
- Zero-support mechanism families
- Small dataset
- Small test split
- Sparse mechanism support
- Synthetic trajectories
- Explicit constraints
- Single primary loss assumption
- Domain breadth without domain depth
- Annotation subjectivity
- Public test labels
Reasoning Constraint Loss Attribution v0.1
A SIOS research dataset for identifying when a governing constraint ceases to regulate a reasoning trajectory, locating the first point of loss, attributing the lost constraint, and identifying the structural mechanism that produced the loss.
Repository:
ClarusC64/reasoning-constraint-loss-attribution-v0.1
Version:
0.1.0
Publisher:
Clarus Invariant
Framework:
SIOS
Dataset identity
Reasoning Constraint Loss Attribution v0.1 is a structured reasoning dataset.
It is not a single-label classification task.
The model must determine:
- whether a governing constraint was lost;
- where the loss first occurred;
- which supplied constraint was lost;
- which structural mechanism family produced the loss.
The central question is:
Which governing constraint ceased to regulate the reasoning trajectory, where did that transition begin, and what structural mechanism caused it?
The dataset includes a reproducible scorer, but it is not presented as a statistically mature benchmark or formal leaderboard.
Its current purpose is to establish a clear task definition, annotation structure, prediction contract, and evaluation method for constraint-loss attribution.
Relationship to Reasoning Drift Onset Detection v0.2
Reasoning Drift Onset Detection v0.2 evaluates a broader reasoning state:
outcome mode
drift onset
mechanism family
repair outcome
residual constraint
Reasoning Constraint Loss Attribution v0.1 isolates a narrower problem:
constraint-loss detection
first loss-step localisation
lost-constraint attribution
mechanism-family attribution
It does not evaluate:
outcome_mode
repair_outcome
correction_source
residual_constraint_failure
recommended_repair
repair_instruction
This narrower structure makes the dataset suitable for focused training and evaluation of constraint attribution without requiring the full repair and outcome ontology.
Repository structure
reasoning-constraint-loss-attribution-v0.1/
├── data/
│ ├── train.csv
│ └── test.csv
├── scorer/
│ └── score.py
├── README.md
├── CITATION.cff
└── LICENSE
Split sizes
| Split | Records | Labels included |
|---|---|---|
train.csv |
24 | Yes |
test.csv |
12 | Yes |
Total labelled records:
36
The public test split is intended for reproducible evaluation and pipeline testing.
Because the gold test labels are public, this release cannot prevent test-set adaptation.
Data structure
The labelled CSV files contain the following fields:
scenario_id
domain
task
constraints_json
trajectory_json
constraint_loss
first_loss_step
lost_constraint
mechanism_family
loss_mechanism
visible_consequence_step
severity
trajectory_length
relative_loss_position
trajectory_structure
annotation_confidence
These fields are divided into four groups:
Model inputs
Primary targets
Secondary annotations
Audit metadata
Model inputs
The model receives:
scenario_id
domain
task
constraints_json
trajectory_json
scenario_id
A unique identifier for each reasoning scenario.
Example:
RCLA-025
domain
The reasoning domain represented by the scenario.
The current release includes examples from:
clinical reasoning
scientific reasoning
legal reasoning
engineering
machine learning
policy analysis
ecology
operations
cybersecurity
financial analysis
education
historical analysis
software debugging
The domain field supports analysis.
The current dataset is not large enough to support reliable domain-specific competence estimates.
task
A natural-language description of the reasoning problem.
Example:
Assess whether recurrent headaches are explained by one reported trigger.
constraints_json
A JSON array containing the governing constraints the reasoning trajectory should preserve.
Example:
[
"Preserve multiple plausible causes until discriminating evidence appears.",
"Separate temporal association from established causation.",
"Do not treat one recurring factor as sufficient explanation."
]
Each constraint expresses a condition that must continue to govern the reasoning process.
Constraint loss occurs when one of these conditions ceases to regulate the trajectory operationally, even if the constraint remains mentioned descriptively.
trajectory_json
A JSON array containing ordered reasoning steps.
Example:
[
{
"step": 1,
"text": "Headaches often occur after poor sleep."
},
{
"step": 2,
"text": "They also occur after missed meals and during periods of high stress."
},
{
"step": 3,
"text": "Poor sleep is selected as the primary cause because it appears most consistently."
}
]
Trajectory steps must:
- begin at
1; - use contiguous numbering;
- contain non-empty text;
- preserve their original order;
- contain exactly the fields
stepandtext.
Primary targets
The dataset defines four primary targets.
1. constraint_loss
A Boolean label indicating whether a supplied governing constraint was lost.
Valid values:
true
false
true
At least one supplied constraint ceases to regulate the reasoning trajectory.
The lost constraint may still be mentioned after the loss point, but it no longer materially constrains the conclusion, decision, or path of analysis.
false
All supplied constraints remain operationally active throughout the trajectory.
A trajectory may:
- rank one hypothesis above another;
- reduce uncertainty;
- prioritise one test;
- apply proportionate caution;
- reach a qualified conclusion;
without losing a governing constraint.
2. first_loss_step
The earliest step at which the selected governing constraint is no longer operationally preserved.
For no-loss cases, the value is blank.
The first loss step should identify the structural transition, not merely the later point where an explicit unsupported conclusion or action becomes visible.
Example:
first_loss_step = 3
visible_consequence_step = 5
This means the constraint stopped governing the reasoning at Step 3, while the visible consequence did not appear until Step 5.
3. lost_constraint
The exact text of the first governing constraint lost.
For loss cases, the value must exactly match one item in constraints_json.
Example:
Preserve multiple plausible causes until discriminating evidence appears.
For no-loss cases:
none
The labelled dataset stores the full constraint text for interpretability.
Prediction files use a 1-based constraint identifier instead.
4. mechanism_family
The coarse structural mechanism that produced the constraint loss.
Valid values:
none
premature_constraint_closure
scope_collapse
causal_scope_collapse
multi_causal_collapse
multi_objective_collapse
proxy_substitution
evidence_suppression
evaluation_scope_collapse
none is valid only for no-loss cases.
Mechanism-family definitions
premature_constraint_closure
The reasoning closes uncertainty, a differential, a hypothesis set, or a decision branch before sufficient discriminating evidence is available.
Typical forms include:
anomaly to confirmed state
compatible evidence to diagnosis
single observation to forecast
association to primary cause
scope_collapse
A conclusion expands beyond the scope supported by the available evidence, procedure, authority, or observation.
Typical forms include:
notice to liability
behaviour to character trait
necessary condition to sufficient condition
procedural compliance to complete legitimacy
causal_scope_collapse
An association, temporal sequence, comparison, adjusted result, or visible intervention is treated as supporting more causal certainty than the evidence permits.
Typical forms include:
correlation to causation
adjustment to causal certainty
temporal proximity to causal priority
single event to system-wide effect
multi_causal_collapse
An interacting causal structure is reduced to one dominant cause, event, catalyst, or pathway.
Other causes may remain mentioned, but they lose operative explanatory force.
Typical forms include:
catalyst to primary cause
narratively vivid event to sole explanation
visible intervention to dominant cause
multi_objective_collapse
Several decision objectives remain visible descriptively, but one objective captures the actual decision process.
Typical competing objectives include:
average benefit
distributional fairness
risk
cost
implementation uncertainty
resilience
long-term adaptation
proxy_substitution
A proxy, surface measure, procedural artifact, or partial indicator replaces the broader state it was intended to represent.
Typical forms include:
signature to informed consent
profit to financial resilience
vegetation cover to ecosystem recovery
single species response to ecosystem recovery
evidence_suppression
Missing, weak, conflicting, or unresolved evidence is converted into support for closure or removed from active reasoning.
Typical forms include:
missing logs to successful operation
missing telemetry to normal operation
absence of recorded failure to absence of failure
evaluation_scope_collapse
Performance under a limited evaluation setting is treated as evidence of broader generalisation, robustness, safety, or deployment readiness.
Typical forms include:
validation gain to generalisation
benchmark success to safety
aggregate accuracy to deployment readiness
Secondary annotations
The labelled dataset includes:
loss_mechanism
visible_consequence_step
severity
These fields support analysis but are not official prediction targets in v0.1.
loss_mechanism
A fine-grained diagnostic subtype within the broader mechanism family.
Example:
{
"mechanism_family": "causal_scope_collapse",
"loss_mechanism": "adjustment_to_causation"
}
The coarse mechanism family is the official prediction target.
Fine-grained mechanisms remain exploratory because many currently have only one example.
visible_consequence_step
The first step where constraint loss produces an explicit unsupported:
conclusion
classification
recommendation
decision
action
attribution
This may occur after first_loss_step.
The field may be blank where constraint loss remains latent and does not yet produce a visible consequence.
For no-loss cases, the field is blank.
severity
A coarse estimate of the consequence of the loss within the designed scenario.
Valid values:
none
low
medium
high
Severity is scenario-relative.
It should not be interpreted as a universal risk scale or as a domain-calibrated safety measure.
Audit metadata
The labelled files include:
trajectory_length
relative_loss_position
trajectory_structure
annotation_confidence
These fields support dataset auditing, shortcut analysis, and stratified evaluation.
They should not be treated as model inputs.
trajectory_length
The number of objects in trajectory_json.
relative_loss_position
Calculated as:
first_loss_step / trajectory_length
Example:
first_loss_step = 3
trajectory_length = 5
relative_loss_position = 0.600
The field is blank for no-loss cases.
trajectory_structure
A descriptive label for the designed trajectory geometry.
Examples include:
stable_hypothesis_ranking
linear_closure_to_action
branch_suppression_without_explicit_falsehood
aggregate_capture_of_distribution
evaluation_scope_expansion
narrative_capture_of_multicausality
This is audit metadata rather than a prediction target.
annotation_confidence
The dataset author’s confidence in the annotation.
This field does not replace:
independent annotation
expert adjudication
inter-annotator agreement
State consistency rules
A valid no-loss case requires:
constraint_loss = false
first_loss_step = blank
lost_constraint = none
mechanism_family = none
A valid loss case requires:
constraint_loss = true
first_loss_step = positive integer
lost_constraint = exact supplied constraint
mechanism_family = non-none family
The loss step must not exceed the trajectory length.
The lost constraint must resolve to exactly one item in constraints_json.
Prediction format
Prediction files must contain:
scenario_id,predicted_constraint_loss,predicted_first_loss_step,predicted_lost_constraint_id,predicted_mechanism_family
Example:
scenario_id,predicted_constraint_loss,predicted_first_loss_step,predicted_lost_constraint_id,predicted_mechanism_family
RCLA-025,true,3,1,premature_constraint_closure
RCLA-026,false,,none,none
predicted_constraint_loss
Valid values:
true
false
predicted_first_loss_step
A positive integer indicating the predicted first loss step.
For predicted no-loss cases, leave the field blank.
predicted_lost_constraint_id
A 1-based index into constraints_json.
Example:
[
"Preserve multiple plausible causes until discriminating evidence appears.",
"Separate temporal association from established causation.",
"Do not treat one recurring factor as sufficient explanation."
]
A prediction of:
1
selects:
Preserve multiple plausible causes until discriminating evidence appears.
For predicted no-loss cases, use:
none
or leave the field blank.
predicted_mechanism_family
The predicted coarse mechanism family.
For predicted no-loss cases:
none
Prediction files must contain exactly one row for every gold scenario.
The scorer rejects:
- missing predictions;
- extra predictions;
- duplicate scenario identifiers;
- unknown scenario identifiers;
- invalid Boolean values;
- invalid mechanism-family labels;
- invalid constraint identifiers;
- loss steps outside the trajectory;
- no-loss predictions containing attribution values;
- loss predictions missing attribution values.
Evaluation design
The scorer separates two different evaluation questions:
End-to-end performance
Conditional attribution performance
This distinction is necessary because no-loss examples do not contain a real loss step or lost constraint to localise.
A correct no-loss prediction should receive credit for detecting that no loss occurred.
It should not receive additional attribution credit for matching:
None == None
on the loss step or lost constraint.
End-to-end metrics
End-to-end metrics are calculated across every scenario.
They evaluate whether the model handles both loss and no-loss trajectories correctly.
Constraint-loss macro F1
Macro F1 across:
false
true
This is the primary detection metric.
It gives equal weight to the loss and no-loss classes regardless of class frequency.
Complete Attribution Accuracy
A case receives credit only when all four primary targets are exactly correct:
constraint_loss
first_loss_step
lost_constraint_id
mechanism_family
Formula:
Complete Attribution Accuracy =
Number of cases with all four targets correct
/
Total number of evaluated cases
For a no-loss case, a complete correct prediction requires:
constraint_loss = false
first_loss_step = blank
lost_constraint_id = none
mechanism_family = none
For a loss case, all four loss-attribution fields must match exactly.
This is a strict end-to-end reconstruction metric.
Conditional attribution metrics
Conditional attribution metrics are calculated only on scenarios where:
gold constraint_loss = true
No-loss cases receive no credit and do not enter the denominator.
These are the primary metrics for localisation and attribution quality.
Exact first-loss-step accuracy
Measures exact agreement on first_loss_step among gold loss cases.
Formula:
Correct exact loss-step predictions
/
Number of gold loss cases
A blank onset prediction receives no credit on a gold loss case.
Within-one first-loss-step accuracy
Measures whether the predicted loss step is within one step of the gold onset.
For numerical predictions:
absolute error <= 1
A blank onset prediction receives no credit.
Lost-constraint exact accuracy
Measures whether the model selects the correct 1-based lost-constraint identifier among gold loss cases.
No-loss examples are excluded.
Conditional mechanism-family macro F1
Evaluates mechanism-family attribution only on gold loss cases.
The none class is excluded.
The fixed loss-family label space is:
premature_constraint_closure
scope_collapse
causal_scope_collapse
multi_causal_collapse
multi_objective_collapse
proxy_substitution
evidence_suppression
evaluation_scope_collapse
This metric isolates mechanism attribution from loss detection.
A model does not receive mechanism-attribution credit merely for predicting none correctly on no-loss examples.
Mean absolute first-loss-step error
Calculated only on gold loss cases where the model supplies a numerical first-loss-step prediction.
Formula:
sum of absolute onset errors
/
number of gold loss cases with numerical onset predictions
Because blank onset predictions are excluded from the MAE calculation, the scorer also reports:
numeric_first_loss_step_prediction_coverage
This prevents a model from appearing to have low onset error by omitting difficult predictions.
Secondary end-to-end diagnostics
The scorer retains several all-case diagnostics for transparency:
first_loss_step_exact_accuracy_all_cases
lost_constraint_exact_accuracy_all_cases
mechanism_family_macro_f1_including_none
These are not the primary attribution metrics.
The first two include correct None/None matches on no-loss cases.
They may therefore be inflated by strong no-loss detection.
The scorer output includes an explicit warning:
All-case localisation and constraint metrics include correct None/None matches on no-loss cases and must not be used as the primary attribution measures.
End-to-end mechanism-family macro F1
The scorer reports an all-case mechanism-family macro F1 using:
none
plus all eight loss families
This metric combines:
loss detection
mechanism attribution
It is useful as an end-to-end diagnostic but should not replace conditional mechanism-family macro F1.
Macro F1 policy
All macro F1 metrics use fixed predefined label spaces.
This means that a class with zero gold support still appears in the macro calculation.
In the current scorer:
zero-support classes receive an F1 value of 0
and therefore contribute zero to the macro average.
This policy has two benefits:
- results remain comparable across runs using the same fixed taxonomy;
- missing class coverage is not hidden.
It also means that macro F1 can be low on a small test set even when predictions are correct for all represented classes.
For that reason, every macro F1 result must be interpreted alongside class-support counts.
Support counts
The scorer reports:
loss_case_support
no_loss_case_support
These identify the denominators of the two evaluation layers.
It also reports class support for:
constraint_loss
mechanism_family_all_cases
mechanism_family_loss_cases
Example:
{
"loss_case_support": 8,
"no_loss_case_support": 4
}
Conditional localisation and attribution metrics use only loss_case_support.
Scorer output
The scorer returns a JSON report with the following structure:
{
"dataset": {
"name": "Reasoning Constraint Loss Attribution v0.1",
"evaluation_type": "structured_constraint_attribution",
"n": 12,
"loss_case_support": 8,
"no_loss_case_support": 4
},
"end_to_end_metrics": {
"constraint_loss_macro_f1": 0.8333,
"complete_attribution_accuracy": 0.5,
"complete_attribution_required_targets": [
"constraint_loss",
"first_loss_step",
"lost_constraint_id",
"mechanism_family"
]
},
"conditional_attribution_metrics": {
"evaluation_subset": "gold constraint_loss=true cases only",
"support": 8,
"exact_first_loss_step_accuracy": 0.625,
"within_one_first_loss_step_accuracy": 0.875,
"lost_constraint_exact_accuracy": 0.75,
"mechanism_family_macro_f1": 0.5417,
"mechanism_labels": [
"premature_constraint_closure",
"scope_collapse",
"causal_scope_collapse",
"multi_causal_collapse",
"multi_objective_collapse",
"proxy_substitution",
"evidence_suppression",
"evaluation_scope_collapse"
],
"mean_absolute_first_loss_step_error": 0.7143,
"numeric_first_loss_step_prediction_coverage": 0.875
},
"secondary_end_to_end_diagnostics": {
"first_loss_step_exact_accuracy_all_cases": 0.75,
"lost_constraint_exact_accuracy_all_cases": 0.8333,
"mechanism_family_macro_f1_including_none": 0.5926
},
"class_support": {},
"per_class_metrics": {},
"metric_policy": {
"fixed_label_macro_f1": true,
"zero_support_classes_contribute_zero": true,
"conditional_attribution_subset": "gold constraint_loss=true",
"none_excluded_from_conditional_mechanism_f1": true,
"negative_cases_receive_no_conditional_attribution_credit": true
},
"prediction_table": []
}
Per-scenario prediction table
The scorer includes a per-scenario audit table.
Each row contains:
gold targets
predicted targets
loss-detection correctness
end-to-end field correctness
conditional attribution inclusion
conditional step correctness
conditional lost-constraint correctness
absolute onset error
complete attribution correctness
For no-loss cases:
conditional_attribution.included = false
The conditional attribution fields are returned as null.
This makes the distinction between detection and attribution explicit at the scenario level.
Running the scorer
Run the scorer with:
python scorer/score.py \
data/test.csv \
predictions.csv
Save the JSON report:
python scorer/score.py \
data/test.csv \
predictions.csv \
--output results/score_report.json
Interpretation guidance
The evaluation should be read in layers.
Layer 1 — Loss detection
Use:
constraint_loss_macro_f1
This asks:
Can the model distinguish trajectories that preserve their constraints from trajectories that lose one?
Layer 2 — Conditional attribution
Use:
exact_first_loss_step_accuracy
within_one_first_loss_step_accuracy
lost_constraint_exact_accuracy
conditional mechanism-family macro F1
These ask:
Given that constraint loss genuinely occurred, can the model locate and explain it?
Layer 3 — Complete end-to-end reconstruction
Use:
complete_attribution_accuracy
This asks:
Can the model produce the complete four-field attribution state correctly across both loss and no-loss cases?
A model may perform well on detection while performing poorly on attribution.
A model may also show reasonable component performance while rarely reconstructing the complete attribution state.
These differences are analytically meaningful and should remain visible.
Why no-loss cases are excluded from conditional attribution
A no-loss example has no real:
first loss step
lost constraint
loss mechanism
When both gold and prediction contain blank values, the match is valid as part of the complete end-to-end state.
It is not evidence that the model can localise or attribute an actual loss.
For this reason:
None == None
is counted in Complete Attribution Accuracy but excluded from the primary conditional localisation and attribution metrics.
This prevents strong no-loss prediction from artificially improving apparent attribution performance.
Recommended scorer tests
The scorer should be tested against at least the following cases before release:
Perfect predictions
Expected result:
all applicable metrics = 1.0
Zero-support mechanism families may still reduce fixed-label macro F1 unless every fixed family is represented in the test fixture.
All-no-loss predictions
Expected result:
- no-loss examples may be correct;
- gold loss examples must fail detection;
- conditional localisation and attribution metrics must receive no credit from no-loss examples;
- blank predicted onsets on gold loss cases must count as incorrect;
- numerical onset coverage should fall.
Onset off by one
Expected result:
exact onset = incorrect
within-one onset = correct
MAE = 1
Correct detection, wrong mechanism
Expected result:
- constraint-loss detection correct;
- complete attribution incorrect;
- conditional mechanism attribution incorrect.
Correct detection, wrong constraint
Expected result:
- detection correct;
- lost-constraint attribution incorrect;
- complete attribution incorrect.
Missing scenario identifier
Expected result:
scorer exits with missing prediction error
Extra scenario identifier
Expected result:
scorer exits with extra prediction error
Duplicate prediction identifier
Expected result:
scorer exits with duplicate identifier error
Out-of-range loss step
Expected result:
scorer rejects a step greater than trajectory length
Invalid constraint identifier
Expected result:
scorer rejects an index outside constraints_json
Invalid mechanism family
Expected result:
scorer rejects an unknown mechanism-family label
Zero-support mechanism families
Expected result:
- unsupported fixed classes remain present;
- their support is
0; - their precision, recall, and F1 are
0; - they contribute zero to fixed-label macro F1.
Current dataset composition
The current release contains:
24 training scenarios
12 test scenarios
36 total scenarios
The examples include:
constraint-preserving trajectories
early loss
middle loss
late loss
latent structural narrowing
visible unsupported consequences
single-cause collapse
objective capture
proxy substitution
evidence suppression
evaluation overreach
The dataset deliberately includes stable controls that are close to failure cases.
These controls are intended to distinguish legitimate hypothesis ranking or qualified reasoning from actual constraint loss.
Current limitations
Small dataset
The dataset contains only 36 labelled trajectories.
This is sufficient for task definition, scorer development, and initial model probing.
It is not sufficient for stable model ranking.
Small test split
The public test split contains 12 scenarios.
Conditional attribution metrics may therefore have small denominators.
Sparse mechanism support
Several mechanism families have limited support.
Some fixed mechanism families may have zero examples in a given evaluation split.
Because fixed-label macro F1 assigns zero to unsupported classes, the metric must always be read alongside class-support counts.
Synthetic trajectories
The scenarios are designed examples rather than naturally generated model traces.
Synthetic design permits precise control of constraints and loss points, but it may also introduce regularities not present in real reasoning.
Explicit constraints
The governing constraints are supplied directly to the model.
The dataset does not currently evaluate whether a model can infer hidden or implicit constraints.
Single primary loss assumption
Each scenario identifies one primary first-lost constraint.
The dataset does not yet evaluate:
simultaneous constraint losses
competing loss attributions
loss cascades
constraint restoration
repeated loss
Domain breadth without domain depth
The dataset spans multiple reasoning domains.
Most domains contain too few scenarios for reliable domain-specific estimates.
Annotation subjectivity
The release does not include formal inter-annotator agreement.
The exact first-loss step and mechanism family may require adjudication in some cases.
Public test labels
The test labels are public.
The release supports reproducible evaluation but not protected leaderboard comparison.
Annotation roadmap
A future annotation study should use multiple independent annotators.
Recommended agreement measures:
| Field | Suggested measure |
|---|---|
| Constraint-loss presence | Fleiss’ kappa |
| First loss step | Exact and within-one agreement |
| Lost constraint | Exact constraint-selection agreement |
| Mechanism family | Fleiss’ kappa |
| Fine loss mechanism | Exploratory agreement |
| Visible consequence step | Exact and within-one agreement |
| Severity | Weighted agreement |
Expected agreement is likely to be highest for:
constraint-loss presence
lost-constraint selection
Moderate for:
first loss step
mechanism family
visible consequence step
Lowest for:
fine loss mechanism
severity
trajectory structure
Roadmap
A stronger future release should include:
- more examples per mechanism family;
- balanced loss and no-loss support;
- more stable near-neighbour controls;
- wider onset-position coverage;
- three-step trajectories;
- eight-to-twelve-step trajectories;
- latent loss without visible consequence;
- multiple simultaneous constraint losses;
- repeated loss and restoration;
- competing lost constraints;
- cascading constraint failure;
- natural model-generated traces;
- adversarial lexical controls;
- hidden-constraint attribution;
- domain-held-out evaluation;
- independent annotation;
- expert adjudication;
- inter-annotator agreement;
- human baselines;
- public model baselines;
- protected test labels.
Recommended status
Version 0.1 should be treated as:
A structured research dataset and evaluation seed for constraint-loss detection, localisation, and attribution.
It should not yet be treated as:
- a statistically mature benchmark;
- a definitive model-ranking instrument;
- a production safety evaluation;
- evidence of domain-specific professional competence;
- a protected public leaderboard.
Status
status: research_dataset
version: 0.1.0
task_definition_stable: true
evaluation_pipeline_included: true
benchmark_status: false
leaderboard_ready: false
conditional_attribution_metrics: true
negative_attribution_inflation_corrected: true
fixed_label_macro_f1: true
zero_support_classes_contribute_zero: true
Licence
MIT.
The dataset is synthetic and contains no third-party source data.
Citation
Caplan, M. (2026).
Reasoning Constraint Loss Attribution v0.1.
Clarus Invariant / SIOS.
Dataset.
See:
CITATION.cff
for machine-readable citation metadata.
- Downloads last month
- 72